Thursday, January 15, 2009

Ugly Reality For Mavericks

As noted yesterday, the Mavericks have struggled against teams with winning records. After losing to New Orleans last night, Dallas continued that trend.

Scary Numbers:
Mavericks' record: 22-17 (.564 winning percentage)
vs. winning teams: 5-13 (.280 winning-percentage)
vs. losing teams: 17-4 (.809 winning-percentage)

Up to this point in the season, Dallas has played 21 games against teams with a losing record and only 18 against teams with a winning record. Unfortunately for Dallas, that is about to change.

43 games remaining:

26 games remaining against teams with a winning record
17 games remaining against teams with a losing record

Scary Projections:
26 games against winning teams x .280 winning-percentage (vs winning teams) = 7 wins
17 games against losing teams x .809 winning-percentage (vs losing teams) = 14 wins

Summary:

Mavs project to go 7-19 in games remaining against winning teams.
Mavs project to go 14-3 in games remaining against losing teams.
Mavs project to finish with a final record of 43-39

Last year, Golden State finished at 48-34...and missed the playoffs. Wow.

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