Brace yourself: Texas won't be playing for the Big 12 Championship this season.
I know...I know. If Oklahoma beats Tech and all three teams win out, there will be a three-way tie. Unfortunately for Bevo, Texas won't win that tiebreaker. Here's why:
#1: If two teams tie for a division title, the head-to-head matchup will determine the winner.
This scenario only applies if the Sooners beat Texas Tech this weekend...and then loses to Oklahoma State next week. After Tech beats Baylor, that will leave Texas and Texas Tech with one conference loss each...but the Red Raiders beat Texas head-to-head, so Tech prevails.
#2: If three teams tie for the Division Lead, the highest ranked BCS team gets the nod.
If Oklahoma beats the Leach Pirates this weekend and Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma all win out, there will be a three-way tie for the Big 12 South Champion. In that case, the highest ranked BCS team will become the Division Champ. Unfortunately for Texas Tech and Texas, Oklahoma will prevail.
Think about it: Tech, Texas and Oklahoma all have common conference opponents...so nothing will be gained/lost there. The true difference will lie within the timing of the losses and each team's non-conference schedule.
Timing:
Oklahoma lost first...and as we all know, losing early is much better than losing late.
Texas lost next...less than two weeks ago.
Tech, again...assuming that they lose on Saturday, will have lost last.
Advantage: Oklahoma
Non-Conference Schedule:
Texas and Texas Tech have a total of ZERO Top 25 non-conference victories.
Oklahoma has two Top 25 non-conference victories (TCU, Cincinnati)
Advantage: Oklahoma
Sorry guys, but:
- if there is a three-way tie atop the Big 12 South, Oklahoma will be the representative
- if there is a two-way tie between Texas Tech and Texas, Texas Tech will be the representative
Texas will not be playing in the Big 12 Championship this year, but it might be a good thing. I will explain more tomorrow.
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